Iran’s missile strikes suggest degrading retaliatory capabilities.

The rate and scale of Iranian ballistic missile strikes targeting Israel suggest that US and Israeli efforts to degrade Iran’s retaliatory capabilities are succeeding.

Iranian Retaliation: The rate and scale of Iranian ballistic missile strikes targeting Israel suggest that US and Israeli efforts to degrade Iran’s retaliatory capabilities are succeeding. More ⬇️(1/2)

US Central Command (CENTCOM) stated that Iran’s retaliation in response to… https://t.co/XA45fpmvHr pic.twitter.com/u7xB4OkkZ6

— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) March 1, 2026

Iranian Retaliation: The rate and scale of Iranian ballistic missile strikes targeting Israel suggest that US and Israeli efforts to degrade Iran’s retaliatory capabilities are succeeding. 

US Central Command (CENTCOM) stated that Iran’s retaliation in response to the joint US-Israeli air campaign has not inflicted US casualties or caused meaningful damage to US military installations used to conduct offensive operations against Iran.

Multiple Iranian drone strikes on civilian infrastructure in Gulf countries wounded civilians on February 28.

Several members of Iran’s Axis of Resistance, including Hezbollah and the Houthis, have condemned the US and Israeli strikes in Iran but have not conducted retaliatory attacks as of ISW-CTP’s 04:00 PM ET data cutoff. These Axis of Resistance members could decide at any time to attack the United States or Israel in response to the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, however.

The Islamic Resistance of Iraq, which is a coalition of Iranian-backed Iraqi militias, claimed on February 24 that it conducted 16 unspecified “operations” with “dozens” of drones targeting “enemy” bases in Iraq and the region.

The Iraqi Joint Operations Command also reported on February 28 that Iraqi air defenses intercepted nine drones that unspecified actors launched at Iraqi military sites in Dhi Qar and Basra provinces.