Senior Iranian security officials have privately warned that the regime faces an inevitable wave of domestic protests as the economy nears total collapse under the weight of a prolonged naval blockade and international sanctions.
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has concluded that a new wave of nationwide protests is “inevitable” as the country’s economic crisis reaches a breaking point. During an emergency meeting chaired by senior official Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, intelligence leaders warned that unrest could erupt within days or weeks. The internal assessment highlights a grim reality: the Iranian economy likely cannot withstand more than six to eight weeks of the current naval blockade in the Persian Gulf and ongoing international sanctions.
The economic indicators cited in the meeting reveal a nation in freefall, characterized by sharp currency devaluation, skyrocketing inflation, and critical shortages of basic medicine and goods. U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure have further crippled export routes, leading to a massive decline in oil revenue. Security officials expressed particular alarm over projections that up to two million private-sector workers could be unemployed by the end of the Iranian spring in June.
The reported anxiety at the highest levels of the security apparatus suggests that the regime fears the next wave of dissent will be harder to suppress than previous uprisings in 2025. With military tensions remaining high and diplomatic negotiations with Washington at a stalemate, officials worry that internal instability could threaten the very survival of the Islamic Republic. While Iran has not publicly commented on the leaked report, the surge in U.S. military air activity over the Middle East underscores the volatility of the region.